Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-11 0.020975 0.022544 0.024174 0.025996 0.027978 0.030068 0.032444
2026-01-18 0.018378 0.020637 0.023105 0.026008 0.029336 0.033042 0.037495
2026-01-25 0.016744 0.019421 0.022455 0.026162 0.030587 0.035724 0.042169
2026-02-01 0.015313 0.018222 0.021618 0.025897 0.031176 0.037513 0.045755
2026-02-08 0.014087 0.017128 0.020768 0.025474 0.031444 0.038823 0.048726
2026-02-15 0.013177 0.016329 0.020186 0.025292 0.031933 0.040361 0.051997
2026-02-22 0.012357 0.015576 0.019591 0.025020 0.032242 0.041631 0.054937
2026-03-01 0.011677 0.014948 0.019105 0.024832 0.032616 0.042963 0.057990
2026-03-08 0.011074 0.014382 0.018653 0.024647 0.032953 0.044229 0.060987
2026-03-15 0.010625 0.013988 0.018401 0.024700 0.033597 0.045922 0.064657
2026-03-22 0.010158 0.013541 0.018047 0.024582 0.033977 0.047241 0.067834
2026-03-29 0.009755 0.013161 0.017760 0.024533 0.034435 0.048674 0.071240
2026-04-05 0.009394 0.012834 0.017551 0.024610 0.035120 0.050534 0.075511
2026-04-12 0.009036 0.012499 0.017313 0.024634 0.035729 0.052320 0.079800
2026-04-19 0.008744 0.012239 0.017169 0.024781 0.036520 0.054413 0.084703
2026-04-26 0.008360 0.011827 0.016778 0.024533 0.036681 0.055523 0.088062
2026-05-03 0.007962 0.011376 0.016309 0.024135 0.036578 0.056195 0.090713
2026-05-10 0.007653 0.011043 0.015998 0.023964 0.036816 0.057414 0.094355
2026-05-17 0.007343 0.010694 0.015648 0.023708 0.036897 0.058370 0.097586
2026-05-24 0.007074 0.010395 0.015358 0.023532 0.037093 0.059516 0.101215
2026-05-31 0.006821 0.010112 0.015079 0.023357 0.037277 0.060641 0.104866
2026-06-07 0.006636 0.009926 0.014944 0.023407 0.037836 0.062432 0.109851
2026-06-14 0.006426 0.009690 0.014720 0.023297 0.038109 0.063733 0.113991